Web3与加密金融

Bitcoin hit $100,000. What’s next?

Predictions from an arcane method popularised in 18th-century France

Bitcoin’s hit $100,000. Congrats on the money, everyone!

It’s challenging to discern what’s on the horizon for crypto after this big round number, given the well-known and glaring problems with trying to figure out how much a bitcoin should be worth.

The CFA Institute has a guide through four valuation options: Total Addressable Market (what if every money user switches to bitcoin); Stock-to-Flow method (pretend scarcity always creates value); Metcalfe’s law (bitcoin is a social network); and the Cost of Production model (bitcoin is a derivative of electricity and computing-power costs).

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