气候变化

Scrambled weather cycle prompts meteorologists to rethink models

Top forecasting agencies in discussions after ‘uh-oh’ moment on key readings of Pacific Ocean temperatures

The top US climate agency is rethinking its modelling of the critical Pacific Ocean cycles that feed into the world’s atmospheric shifts, as record hot sea temperatures globally scramble weather patterns.

Scientists at the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (Noaa) told the Financial Times they were holding discussions internally and consulting other national agencies about how to make forecasts more accurate.

“It’s certainly an indication that global warming is messing with the traditional ways we monitor events,” said Nathaniel Johnson, a scientist on a team that develops the US models. “We should consider . . . whether our traditional metrics will still work as well given how much our oceans are warming.”

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