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Moody’s warns on deteriorating outlook for US public finances

Rating agency says Donald Trump’s policies could make it more difficult to offset rising deficit and debt

Credit rating group Moody’s has warned on the US fiscal outlook, saying President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs can hamper the country’s ability to cope with a growing debt pile and higher interest rates.

The rating agency said on Tuesday that America’s “fiscal strength is on course for a continued multiyear decline”, having already “deteriorated further” since it assigned a negative outlook to America’s top-notch Aaa credit rating in November 2023.

While Moody’s highlighted the “extraordinary” economic resilience of the US and the role of the dollar and the Treasury market as backbones of the global financial system, its analysts also warned on Tuesday that the policies of the second Trump administration — including sweeping tariffs and plans for tax cuts — could do more harm than good for government revenues.

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